Sunday, July 15, 2012

Buy stocks of TCS; target Rs 1290

“Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) reported Q1FY13 results touch-ahead of PLe/ consensus expectations. The management indicated no worrying signs in clients’ spending behaviour. Moreover, they indicated that some of the delays that they had witnessed at the beginning of the last quarter are allaying away. We see uncertain demand environment and weak pricing environment to restrict consensus estimate upgrade.”

“According to the management, the deal pipeline is more broad-based and the growth has come across the vertical. The strong growth in BFSI and telecom is led by one client ramp-up in each vertical. We see the growth getting scarce as the demand environment gets challenging. However, already pocketed deals for TCS gives better visibility of revenue compared to peers. The management is confident of achieving higher end of NASSCOM guidance in the constant currency terms.”

“The current price factors in strong performance by TCS. We tweak our model; hence revise our target price to Rs1,290 (from Rs1,270), 17x FY14E earnings estimate. We value TCS on FY14 due to better revenue visibility compared to Infosys, which we value on FY13 estimates. We retain our 'Accumulate' rating, with a revise target price of Rs 1,290,” says Prabhudas Lilladher research report.

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