Sunday, November 6, 2016

Sell Rallis India: East India Securities


Rallis, on standalone basis, posted growth of 17.8% in Net Sales for the quarter, as domestic business picked up on back of strong monsoon and spillover of export order from previous quarter. Domestic business was struggling on account of two back to back droughts and high channel inventory. Other business (majorly seed) posted strong growth of 66% for the quarter. Rallis’s Q2FY17 numbers were in-line with our expectation.

 Even thought Rallis has one of the best distribution network, company seems to be unable to capitalize on it. Given stellar performance by peers, Rallis’s lowering innovation index and declining growth in domestic business indicate urgent need for business restructuring & focus. 

Overall, we estimate Rallis to register a CAGR of 9% in Net Sales and Profit over FY2016-18E, respectively. On the valuation front, the stock is trading at 29x & 26x FY2017 & FY2018 Estimated Earnings. We recommend Sell on stock with a Target Price of Rs 223.

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