Supreme Infra:-
“
Supreme Infra has registered revenue growth of 32.2% yoy to Rs. 4,362
mn, showing the execution strength of the company. This strong execution
was seen in the road projects viz., Manor Wada Bhiwandi, Ahmednagar
Karmala and Panvel Indapur. During the quarter we saw a decline in
EBIDTA margins which stood at 16.1% down by 59 bps yoy, primarily due to
higher construction expenses as a percentage of sales which went up by
929 bps yoy at 82.1%. during the quarter PAT margins were down by 183
bps yoy at 5.9%, primarily down due to rise in borrowing cost by 74% yoy
and rise in effective tax rate by 600 bps yoy at 28.0%.”
“The present order book stands at Rs 43,758 mn including L1 of Rs 9,996
mn which stands at 2.9x FY12 sales. During the quarter SIIL, added
orders worth Rs. 11,456 mn. The closing order book has been divided into
50% road, 7% bridges, 1% railway, 37% building, 5% water and balance
power. The Company has achieved the financial closure for 9 BOT projects
except for the new 10th road BOT project bagged (Kotkapura-Muktsar
Road) during Q1FY13 in JV with SPML Infra based out of Punjab. Of the
total 10 BOT projects currently 3 projects are operational viz-Kasheli
Bridge Patiala Malerkotla and Nagar Kopargaon. During FY13 the company
will have 1 Road BOT viz Manor wada Bhiwandi which is expected to get
completed and start the operation. Total Equity requirement for 10 road
BOT projects is Rs. 7,500 Mn of which Rs 3,800mn has been infused by
Supreme Infra while; 3i Capital will infuse Rs. 3,060 mn and balance
Rs.640 mn to be infused over the next 36 months by the company.”
“The company is well poised to capitalise on the opportunities of
govertment spending on infrastructure. In view of the growing order
book, efficient execution of ongoing projects, backward integration and
improving track record, we expect the company’s top line to grow at a
healthy CAGR rate of ~21% during FY12 to FY14E. At current market price
of Rs 278 the stock is trading at a P/E multiple of 4.4x and 3.6x to its
FY13E and FY14E EPS of Rs. 63.8 and Rs. 76.4 per share. We maintain buy
with a target price of Rs. 365 per share with an upside of 31% based on
SOTP method. For the construction business we arrive at a price of Rs
319 per share which discount FY13E EPS of Rs 63.8 by 5x. For BOT
projects viz., Manor-Wada-Bhiwandi (MWB), Kasheli Bridge (KB), Nagar
Kopargaon (NK) and Patiala Malerkotla which are valued on DCF basis
which gives a NPV of Rs 46 per share,” says BP Equities research report.